Major wildfires engulfing the Los Angeles, California region this week have forced tens of thousands of people to flee from their homes as experts have increasingly sounded the alarm about the effects of climate change on such disasters.
California Governor Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency on 7 January as the fire in upscale Pacific Palisades blazed through at least 2,921 acres (1,182 hectares) and other blazes were reported outside of the area.
As climate change fuels hotter, drier conditions, many spots in the United States – even in places far from the west coast – have been suffering from wildfires and increased risk in recent years.
The Palisades fire has been fuelled by powerful winds that arrived following extended dry weather.
“Climate-exacerbated wildfires” cost the US between US$394 billion and US$893 billion annually in costs and damages, according to a congressional report from October 2023.
The Los Angeles wildfires come a little more than two years after the Maui wildfires killed more than 100 people, making the Hawaii blazes the deadliest US wildfires in over a century.
The Hawaii wildfire ravaged the resort town of Lahaina in August 2023, charring a 5 square-mile (13 square-km) area in hours and burning so ferociously that even metal structures melted
In 2023, the Hawaii disaster came soon after wildfires drove tourists to flee their hotels in Greece and major cities were blanketed in smoke from blazes in Canada.
Wildfires are increasing in frequency and severity across the world, found a May 2023 report by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), a group of 38 countries.
The duration of the fire weather season has lengthened by 27 per cent globally since 1979 and wildfires have become more frequent, OECD researchers said. In Australia, for example, wildfire frequency has doubled since 1980.
Here is what researchers have found out about wildfires worldwide:
How bad are forest fires today?
As wildfires become more common in many regions, the occurrence of extreme wildfires – in terms of their size, duration, intensity and impacts – is also on the rise, the OECD researchers said.
Wildfire severity, which considers the ecosystem impacts caused by a fire, rose eight-fold between 1985 and 2017 in the forests of the western United States - including in badly affected California, the research found.
It said unsustainable land-use practices such as forest clearing and drying out of peatlands for agricultural expansion, especially monoculture farming, have also affected natural ecosystems’ resilience to wildfires.
Forest fires now cause about 3 million more hectares of tree cover loss each year than they did in 2001, researchers at the University of Maryland and monitoring service Global Forest Watch (GFW) said.
These fires accounted for more than a quarter of all tree cover loss over the past two decades.
What causes wildfires and what are the lasting impacts?
Climate change is a major reason for the increase in fires, with extreme heatwaves five times more likely now than 150 years ago and expected to become even more frequent as the planet continues to warm.
Higher temperatures dry out forests and landscapes to create the ideal environment for larger, more frequent forest fires. This results in higher CO2 emissions, further exacerbating climate change and in turn contributing to more fires.
Climate change is estimated to have doubled the total forest area burned in the western United States between 1984 and 2015, the OECD report said.
The extreme fire weather that facilitated the devastating 2019/20 wildfires in Australia was estimated to be at least 30 per cent more likely because of climate change.
But in most cases, human activity such as agricultural expansion, power cables, camp fires or deliberate arson, is responsible for nearly 70 per cent of the total burned area globally, OECD researchers said.
Deforestation and the drainage of peatlands worsen drought conditions and increase landscape flammability - contributing to the occurrence of extreme wildfires in countries such as Brazil and Indonesia, the OECD report added.
Certain forestry practices also increase wildfire risk, as evidenced in 2017 in Portugal, where non-native eucalyptus provided highly flammable fuel.
Besides causing long-lasting and irreversible ecosystem damage, extreme wildfires can lead to hefty economic losses and harm human health.
Globally, wildfire-induced air pollution is associated with 340,000 premature deaths annually, the OECD report said.
The 2019/20 wildfires in Australia caused US$23 billion in direct costs, while the 2018 Camp Fire in California cost about US$19 billion, it added.
What can countries do to combat wildfire risks?
In the past two decades, at-risk countries have increased resources to suppress wildfires up to four-fold, but they have had limited success in containing damage.
Healthy ecosystems are more resilient and less prone to wildfire ignition and spread, so protecting and restoring degraded forests and peatlands has become a key element in many countries’ wildfire prevention efforts, the OECD said.
Limiting illegal and unsustainable land use, and the scaling up of monitoring and enforcement efforts, is also vital.
Better land-use planning and building rules and standards are key to protecting lives and assets, and play a key role in containing wildfire risk and impacts, the report said.
Up-to-date information on wildfire hazard, exposure and vulnerability can help to better assess future wildfire risk while also inform prevention and preparedness decisions.
Coordination, collaboration and the exchange of knowledge across sectors and levels of government also need to be strengthened, the OECD added.
But there is no solution for bringing fire frequency back down to historical levels without drastically cutting greenhouse gas emissions, GFW researchers said.
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