Ballooning gas exports to leave Australian wind winner

lng
Methane emissions from ships have ballooned in the last decade, increasing by 150 per cent between 2012 and 2018 due to the rapid growth in the use of LNG as a marine fuel. Image: The Globe and Mail

Australia’s $65 billion of projects to export liquefied natural gas from the east coast are set to push up domestic prices for the fuel, opening the way for record investment at home in competing energy sources to produce power.

Prices are forecast to double this decade closer to levels customers in Asia will pay for Australian LNG after companies including BG Group (BG/) Plc and Santos Ltd. open terminals to ship gas that could have been supplied to the local market. That will help drive the A$33 billion ($34 billion) of wind- and solar- power projects developers plan to build through 2020 in Australia, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

“With high, LNG-driven domestic gas prices, renewable energy is the cheapest source of new electricity generation,” according to Kobad Bhavnagri, a Sydney-based analyst at Bloomberg New Energy Finance. “It is quite conceivable that we could leapfrog straight from coal to renewables to reduce emissions as carbon prices rise.”

Electricity can be supplied from a new wind farm in Australia at a cost of as little as A$80 per megawatt hour when a price on carbon emissions is included, compared with A$143 a megawatt hour from a new coal-fired power plant or A$116 a megawatt hour from a new station powered by gas, a Bloomberg New Energy Finance report said in February.

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